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The State of Our Union's Elections (Part 1)
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The State of Our Union's Elections (Part 1)

Remember the 2022 Midterm Momentum Mirage

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David Salzillo
Oct 25, 2024
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The State of Our Union's Elections (Part 1)
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A small dog wearing a red tie and a yellow hat
Photo by Karsten Winegeart on Unsplash. He would be a better choice than Trump, that’s for sure.

Note: I will try to mostly put the paid subscriptions generated from this post (and the others in the series) towards Democrats across the country and towards Democratic/progressive organizations like Robert Reich’s Inequality Media Civic Action, the Progressive Turnout Project, and the great Simon Rosenberg’s Hopium Chronicles.

However, if you would prefer your subscription dollars to fund nonpartisan causes, please reach out to me and I can try to work out an accommodation.

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On November 8, 2022, Democratic Senator Patty Murray of Washington State was up in 538 polling averages by a mere 4 points. In what was a solidly Democratic state.

It was not good. Not good at all. Trafalgar Group polls had Murray with a mere 2 point lead. 2 more polls gave similar news. A third said the race was tied. Sen. Murray, it seemed, was in a fight for her political survival. She sure acted like she was. She went on the defensive, closed up her war chest to more vulnerable Democrats in other places, and even got assistance from the national Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and affiliated Super PACs.

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